Sebastian Ernst

Sebastian Ernst

I am an Economics PhD candidate at the London School of Economics. My research interests are in public economics, labour economics and industrial organisation.

Publications

Risk Scores for Long-Term Unemployment and the Assignment to Job Search Counseling with Andreas I. Mueller and Johannes Spinnewijn, AEA Papers and Proceedings, 114: 572–76, May 2024

Replication Package
This paper analyses how risk profiling is used to assign unemployed job seekers to job search counseling in Flanders, Belgium. We compare algorithmic selection to self-selection and selection by job search counselors. We discuss practical challenges for the implementation of risk profiling and highlight avenues for further research. We find that algorithmic assignment is used for only a small fraction of the sample and that job search counselors appear to have valuable private information on job seekers' reemployment prospects beyond what is captured by the algorithmic risk score.

Work in Progress

"Targeted Subsidy Design: Theory and Evidence from Childcare Subsidies"

"Risk or Responsiveness? Targeting in Unemployment Policy" with Andreas I. Mueller, Johannes Spinnewijn, Joost Bollens and Stijn Van De Velde